Buffalo News Political Columnist Bob McCarthy on what State Sen. Mike Giarnaris, head of Democratic Senate Campaign Committee is predicting for Mark Grisanti's Buffalo seat:

State Sen. Mike Gianaris of Queens is crowing over the latest campaign finance reports showing more than $1 million for his Democratic Senate Campaign Committee, making it “very well positioned to take back the majority.” But Republicans take issue, claiming the Dems have only $36,000 on hand, while they boast $2 million.

This is for sure — Democrats and Republicans alike are focused on Republican Sen. Mark Grisanti. He was lambasted by Erie County GOP Chairman Nick Langworthy and Conservative Chairman Ralph Lorigo for his crucial vote on legalizing same-sex marriage in New York, and afterward did not dismiss the idea of running as a Democrat in 2012.

“One thing I can say with extreme confidence,” Gianaris says, “a Democrat will hold that seat come Jan. 1, 2013.”